Monthly Archives: June 2015

As the president, chief scientist, and CEO of Strategic Analysis Enterprises, Inc., Stephen M. Shellman has analyzed trends for governmental agencies, using his academic background in security studies. In his off hours, Steve Shellman plays in a rock band and appreciates the music of Warren Haynes.

Haynes is perhaps best known for his work as a guitarist for the Allman Brothers and his own group, Gov’t Mule. Born in Asheville, North Carolina in 1960, Haynes developed a taste for rhythm and blues as well as soul music. After getting a guitar at age 12, Haynes began playing at parties and later joined a band called Ricochet. His work attracted interest from a member of David Allen Coe’s band, which he joined at age 20.

After performing successively in several groups, Haynes joined guitarist Dickey Betts’ band. When Betts re-formed the Allman Brothers Band in 1989, he brought Haynes along as a guitarist. For eight years, Haynes recorded and toured with the Allmans. He started his first self-named band during time off from the Allmans and released a solo album. Haynes also practiced his songwriting, selling a song to Garth Brooks that went on to become a hit.

In 1994, Haynes disbanded his group and started a trio, Gov’t Mule. During the 2000s, Haynes’s musical activities included gigs with Grateful Dead bassist Phil Lesh and other surviving members of that band. He also revived the Warren Haynes Band and continued with Gov’t Mule. In 2011 he made a Southern soul album and in 2012 he released a live album. Accompanied by the band Railroad Earth, Haynes then cut the blues-tinged Ashes and Dust for a 2015 release.

Strategic Analysis Enterprise CEO and chief research scientist Stephen “Steve” Shellman is the author of one book and numerous articles on political conflict and international conflict analysis. Additionally, Steve Shellman has presented at several conferences and political forums, including the Department of Defense’s (DoD) Minerva Research Initiative in 2010.

A university-based social science research program launched by the Secretary of Defense in 2008, the Minerva Initiative uses research and data analysis to support the DoD. It focuses on strategically important regions around the world and strives to improve the DoD’s understanding of the key factors shaping these regions, which include cultural, behavioral, social, and political forces. Minerva Initiative conferences are held annually to discuss current projects and ongoing research.

The Minerva Initiative employs three primary strategies to accomplish its goal. First, it relies on a network of connections and affiliations with the nation’s top universities to provide leverage and focus for research efforts. It works to define and develop fundamental knowledge regarding present and future conflicts with the intention of better understanding political trajectories of key regions worldwide. Additionally, it works with some of the top scholars in social science research and interdisciplinary studies fields to improve the DoD’s developmental research abilities.

Shellman’s presentation during the 2010 Minerva Initiative involved analyzing the model for dynamic violence through integrated events. Delivered with the aid of two fellow presenters at the National Defense University, the presentation was titled Modeling Dynamic Violence: Integrating Events Data Analysis and Agent-Based Modeling.

In addition to his position as the CEO and chief research scientist at Strategic Analysis Enterprise (SAE), Dr. Stephen “Steve” Shellman serves as the director of the College of William and Mary’s Violent Intranational Political Conflict and Terrorism (VIPCAT) Research Laboratory. Dr. Steve Shellman helps lead the VIPCAT Laboratory to conduct global political analysis research and development programs, including Project Civil Strife (PCS).

PCS is a database composed of records of intranational events that relate to political conflicts and the cooperation between individuals within various countries. Consisting of data collected between the years of 2001 and 2011, PCS primarily concentrated on territories in South and Southeast Asia.

PCS developers used an event data coding engine designed by SAE called Xenophen to input data into the system and included a geo-coding software package that tracks geographic trends using local and national reference files.

Several organizations assisted with the funding needed to develop PCS. Aside from SAE, financial backers included the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, the U.S. National Science Foundation, the Office of Naval Research, and the Office of Secretary of Defense. A number of other sources provided additional funding and support.